<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[Bismarck Brief]]></title><description><![CDATA[Intelligence-grade analysis of key industries, organizations, and live players.]]></description><link>https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!snCB!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9d63993a-d809-4577-a17d-fbf8dae4fa12_1280x1280.png</url><title>Bismarck Brief</title><link>https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:24:46 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Samo Burja]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[bismarck@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[bismarck@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Samo Burja]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Samo Burja]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[bismarck@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[bismarck@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Samo Burja]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[Great Leaps in Brain-Computer Interfaces Are Plausible]]></title><description><![CDATA[Semiconductor and AI progress drives advances in reading the electrical signals of the human brain and nervous system. This uncanny technology has not even yet reaped low-hanging fruit from scaling.]]></description><link>https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/great-leaps-in-brain-computer-interfaces</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/great-leaps-in-brain-computer-interfaces</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Samo Burja]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 08 Jul 2026 12:58:36 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9i4r!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa5ab0a77-d66e-4f4a-8d95-b7a4e12f9203_2048x1359.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9i4r!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa5ab0a77-d66e-4f4a-8d95-b7a4e12f9203_2048x1359.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9i4r!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa5ab0a77-d66e-4f4a-8d95-b7a4e12f9203_2048x1359.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9i4r!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa5ab0a77-d66e-4f4a-8d95-b7a4e12f9203_2048x1359.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9i4r!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa5ab0a77-d66e-4f4a-8d95-b7a4e12f9203_2048x1359.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9i4r!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa5ab0a77-d66e-4f4a-8d95-b7a4e12f9203_2048x1359.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9i4r!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa5ab0a77-d66e-4f4a-8d95-b7a4e12f9203_2048x1359.png" width="1456" height="966" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a5ab0a77-d66e-4f4a-8d95-b7a4e12f9203_2048x1359.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:966,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9i4r!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa5ab0a77-d66e-4f4a-8d95-b7a4e12f9203_2048x1359.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9i4r!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa5ab0a77-d66e-4f4a-8d95-b7a4e12f9203_2048x1359.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9i4r!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa5ab0a77-d66e-4f4a-8d95-b7a4e12f9203_2048x1359.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9i4r!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa5ab0a77-d66e-4f4a-8d95-b7a4e12f9203_2048x1359.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">A Neuralink surgical robot implanting a microelectrode thread for an intracortical brain-computer interface. Photo from Neuralink. <a href="https://neuralink.com/updates/prime-study-progress-update/">Source</a>.</figcaption></figure></div><p><em><span>This Bismarck Brief will contribute to our exclusive upcoming AI 2026 Bismarck Strategic Report, which will feature in-depth analysis of the state of the artificial intelligence sector and technology, together with a comprehensive profile of key players. </span><a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/subscribe"><span>Upgrade or subscribe now</span></a><span> to receive full access and never miss a report.</span></em></p><p><span>In January 2024, Elon Musk&#8217;s brain-computer interface (BCI) company Neuralink implanted its first device into a human recipient&#8217;s brain, allowing a 29-year-old man paralyzed below the shoulder, Noland Arbaugh, to control a computer cursor with his thoughts and, among other things, play computer games like online chess, </span><em><span>Civilization</span></em><span>, and even </span><a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/john-carmack-attempts-fundamental"><span>first-person shooters</span></a><span>.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> Since then, at least twenty additional paralyzed recipients have received Neuralink implants, allowing them to control not just cursors but computer keyboards and even robotic arms.</span><a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a><span> While Neuralink is the most prominent BCI company, it is far from alone. In March 2026, the Chinese government designated BCIs a technological priority for the country and also approved the world&#8217;s first commercially-available invasive BCI, made by Shanghai-based company Neuracle; other such devices remain approved only for clinical trials.</span><a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-3" href="#footnote-3" target="_self">3</a><span> In June 2026, Mark Zuckerberg&#8217;s </span><a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/meta-attempts-to-build-frontier-ai"><span>Meta</span></a><span> released a study showing it could decode more than half of words typed by a subject using only noninvasive magnetic sensors.</span><a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-4" href="#footnote-4" target="_self">4</a><span> The further development of this technology promises not just transformative medical devices but also hands-free input to computers and new training data for AI&#8212;first steps on an envisioned path of merging human mind and body with machine.</span></p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[AI 2026: Gas Turbine Demand Pushes Data Centers to Become Power Plants]]></title><description><![CDATA[Heavy-duty gas turbines are among the most difficult to manufacture products in the world. Only a handful of mature firms control the supply chains with Chinese competitors lagging years behind.]]></description><link>https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/ai-2026-gas-turbine-demand-pushes</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/ai-2026-gas-turbine-demand-pushes</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Samo Burja]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 24 Jun 2026 12:59:43 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tw1y!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa0456939-9f25-4751-bb03-489d03e8f357_2048x1371.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tw1y!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa0456939-9f25-4751-bb03-489d03e8f357_2048x1371.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tw1y!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa0456939-9f25-4751-bb03-489d03e8f357_2048x1371.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tw1y!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa0456939-9f25-4751-bb03-489d03e8f357_2048x1371.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tw1y!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa0456939-9f25-4751-bb03-489d03e8f357_2048x1371.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tw1y!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa0456939-9f25-4751-bb03-489d03e8f357_2048x1371.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tw1y!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa0456939-9f25-4751-bb03-489d03e8f357_2048x1371.jpeg" width="1456" height="975" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a0456939-9f25-4751-bb03-489d03e8f357_2048x1371.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:975,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tw1y!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa0456939-9f25-4751-bb03-489d03e8f357_2048x1371.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tw1y!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa0456939-9f25-4751-bb03-489d03e8f357_2048x1371.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tw1y!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa0456939-9f25-4751-bb03-489d03e8f357_2048x1371.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tw1y!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa0456939-9f25-4751-bb03-489d03e8f357_2048x1371.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Workers inspecting a Siemens SGT-8000H gas turbine. Photo from Siemens. <a href="https://press.siemens.com/global/en/pressrelease/siemens-h-class-gas-turbines-achieve-one-million-operating-hours">Source</a>.</figcaption></figure></div><p><em><span>This Bismarck Brief will contribute to our exclusive upcoming AI 2026 Bismarck Strategic Report, which will feature in-depth analysis of the state of the artificial intelligence sector and technology, together with a comprehensive profile of key players. </span><a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/subscribe"><span>Upgrade or subscribe now</span></a><span> to receive full access and never miss a report.</span></em></p><p><span>Gas turbines are types of internal combustion engines that convert chemical energy from natural gas into mechanical rotation that a generator then converts into electricity. Gas is the world&#8217;s second-largest energy source for power generation, behind only coal: in 2025 gas power plants worldwide generated around 7000 terawatt-hours (TWh) of electricity, compared to around 10,500 TWh for coal plants.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> Such power plants are especially important in regions such as the United States where, due to the </span><a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/the-global-effects-of-the-us-fracking"><span>fracking revolution</span></a><span>, natural gas remains cheap and abundant, and also in many European countries where regulatory factors have combined to drive coal and </span><a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/the-german-retreat-from-nuclear-power"><span>nuclear power plants</span></a><span> out of operation. Similar U.S. regulations mean that the recent significant increase for U.S. electricity demand, which was close to stagnant for two decades, and is driven primarily by AI </span><a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/ai-2026-data-centers-restart-growth"><span>data center</span></a><span> construction, will be met through burning natural gas, driving rapidly expanding demand for gas turbines.</span></p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[AI 2026: Cerebras and the Potential Cambrian Explosion in Semiconductors]]></title><description><![CDATA[The U.S. company successfully designed the largest computer chip ever made. If AI demand continues to grow, it will not be the last company to design a peculiar chip with unique advantages.]]></description><link>https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/ai-2026-cerebras-and-the-potential</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/ai-2026-cerebras-and-the-potential</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Samo Burja]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 03 Jun 2026 15:01:57 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pUDd!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F98020afb-71cb-4e11-a277-57a0f02a2bf7_2048x1490.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pUDd!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F98020afb-71cb-4e11-a277-57a0f02a2bf7_2048x1490.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pUDd!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F98020afb-71cb-4e11-a277-57a0f02a2bf7_2048x1490.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pUDd!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F98020afb-71cb-4e11-a277-57a0f02a2bf7_2048x1490.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pUDd!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F98020afb-71cb-4e11-a277-57a0f02a2bf7_2048x1490.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pUDd!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F98020afb-71cb-4e11-a277-57a0f02a2bf7_2048x1490.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pUDd!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F98020afb-71cb-4e11-a277-57a0f02a2bf7_2048x1490.jpeg" width="1456" height="1059" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/98020afb-71cb-4e11-a277-57a0f02a2bf7_2048x1490.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1059,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pUDd!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F98020afb-71cb-4e11-a277-57a0f02a2bf7_2048x1490.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pUDd!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F98020afb-71cb-4e11-a277-57a0f02a2bf7_2048x1490.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pUDd!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F98020afb-71cb-4e11-a277-57a0f02a2bf7_2048x1490.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pUDd!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F98020afb-71cb-4e11-a277-57a0f02a2bf7_2048x1490.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">A Cerebras Wafer-Scale Engine (WSE) chip. <a href="https://gcp-na-images.contentstack.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt6a7bbcf0fed75011/698a8a349862f5eb4a89ac8e/Cerebras-Systems-Wafer-Scale-Engine.jpeg?branch=production&amp;width=1920&amp;quality=75&amp;auto=webp&amp;crop=3:2">Source</a>.</figcaption></figure></div><p><em>This Bismarck Brief will contribute to our exclusive upcoming AI 2026 Bismarck Strategic Report, which will feature in-depth analysis of the state of the artificial intelligence sector and technology, together with a comprehensive profile of key players. <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/subscribe">Upgrade or subscribe now</a> to receive full access and never miss a report.</em></p><p>Cerebras is a U.S. semiconductor company that, in 2019, made computing history by successfully creating the physically largest-ever computer chip.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> An Nvidia H100 chip, first released in 2022, is roughly 814 square millimeters large&#8212;small enough to sit on a fingertip. In comparison, Cerebras&#8217; &#8220;Wafer-Scale Engines&#8221; are over 46,000 square millimeters in size, well over fifty times larger than Nvidia&#8217;s chips and large enough to be held with both hands. The idea behind building massive computer chips is very simple: electrical signals between transistors on a single large chip must move far less distance than signals moving across many smaller chips connected with external networking components, making a single chip not just faster and more powerful but also more economical, using less electricity. Cerebras used a novel design to circumvent existing semiconductor design and manufacturing constraints, and says its chips are twenty times faster than Nvidia&#8217;s chips at running AI models, allowing instantaneous responses with no wait-time for users; its chips have won a major customer in OpenAI, which agreed to buy $20 billion of Cerebras chips in April 2026.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a></p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[AI 2026: TSMC Risks Being a Bottleneck on AI Progress]]></title><description><![CDATA[The world's most valuable chipmaker is a repository of unique industrial expertise. Its businesslike conservatism about AI however risks the company's position being disrupted by competitors.]]></description><link>https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/ai-2026-tsmc-risks-being-a-bottleneck</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/ai-2026-tsmc-risks-being-a-bottleneck</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Samo Burja]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 27 May 2026 13:03:16 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!19z8!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd706d5b3-7a4f-4679-a535-3a701e48a126_1943x1264.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!19z8!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd706d5b3-7a4f-4679-a535-3a701e48a126_1943x1264.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!19z8!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd706d5b3-7a4f-4679-a535-3a701e48a126_1943x1264.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!19z8!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd706d5b3-7a4f-4679-a535-3a701e48a126_1943x1264.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!19z8!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd706d5b3-7a4f-4679-a535-3a701e48a126_1943x1264.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!19z8!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd706d5b3-7a4f-4679-a535-3a701e48a126_1943x1264.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!19z8!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd706d5b3-7a4f-4679-a535-3a701e48a126_1943x1264.jpeg" width="1456" height="947" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d706d5b3-7a4f-4679-a535-3a701e48a126_1943x1264.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:947,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!19z8!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd706d5b3-7a4f-4679-a535-3a701e48a126_1943x1264.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!19z8!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd706d5b3-7a4f-4679-a535-3a701e48a126_1943x1264.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!19z8!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd706d5b3-7a4f-4679-a535-3a701e48a126_1943x1264.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!19z8!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd706d5b3-7a4f-4679-a535-3a701e48a126_1943x1264.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">TSMC Fab 16 in China. Photo from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. <a href="https://pr.tsmc.com/english/gallery-fabs-outside">Source</a>.</figcaption></figure></div><p><em>This Bismarck Brief will contribute to our exclusive upcoming AI 2026 Bismarck Strategic Report, which will feature in-depth analysis of the state of the artificial intelligence sector and technology, together with a comprehensive profile of key players. <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/subscribe">Upgrade or subscribe now</a> to receive full access and never miss a report.</em></p><p>With a market capitalization of over $2 trillion (<a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSM/">TSM</a>), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) is the most valuable semiconductor manufacturing company in the world as of May 2026.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> The company is considered a chip &#8220;foundry&#8221; that does not design any computer chips but only manufactures them on contract for other companies, including &#8220;fabless&#8221; semiconductor companies like Nvidia and <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/amd-is-a-functional-institution-in">AMD</a>. TSMC singlehandedly dominates global production of the world&#8217;s most advanced and computationally powerful computer chips and its dominance has not just held but grown in recent years: its share of global foundry revenue has grown from 59% in 2020 to 72% as of late 2025&#8212;with second-ranked <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/the-family-dynasty-behind-samsung">Samsung</a> dwarfed in comparison with a market share of just 7%&#8212;and its market share reaching even higher with greater chip sophistication.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a> At present, the entire leading edge of artificial intelligence technology is dependent on TSMC&#8217;s manufacturing capabilities as well as its ability to scale up production quickly, and by extension so are the fortunes of many of the world&#8217;s most valuable companies including <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/nvidias-successful-bet-on-artificial">Nvidia</a> and <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/the-apple-paradox-makes-apple-a-dead">Apple</a>.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[TotalEnergies is the Energy Champion Europe Needs But No Longer Wants]]></title><description><![CDATA[France's energy giant is not just an oil and gas extractor but a vertically integrated refiner, transporter, and electricity provider. Despite multiple energy crises, it lacks elite political support.]]></description><link>https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/totalenergies-is-the-energy-champion</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/totalenergies-is-the-energy-champion</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Samo Burja]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 20 May 2026 15:38:21 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ICNZ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffceb3eb4-8b74-47f7-9eaf-bfd18fd33f5d_1200x800.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ICNZ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffceb3eb4-8b74-47f7-9eaf-bfd18fd33f5d_1200x800.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ICNZ!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffceb3eb4-8b74-47f7-9eaf-bfd18fd33f5d_1200x800.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ICNZ!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffceb3eb4-8b74-47f7-9eaf-bfd18fd33f5d_1200x800.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ICNZ!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffceb3eb4-8b74-47f7-9eaf-bfd18fd33f5d_1200x800.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ICNZ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffceb3eb4-8b74-47f7-9eaf-bfd18fd33f5d_1200x800.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ICNZ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffceb3eb4-8b74-47f7-9eaf-bfd18fd33f5d_1200x800.jpeg" width="1200" height="800" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/fceb3eb4-8b74-47f7-9eaf-bfd18fd33f5d_1200x800.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:800,&quot;width&quot;:1200,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ICNZ!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffceb3eb4-8b74-47f7-9eaf-bfd18fd33f5d_1200x800.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ICNZ!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffceb3eb4-8b74-47f7-9eaf-bfd18fd33f5d_1200x800.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ICNZ!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffceb3eb4-8b74-47f7-9eaf-bfd18fd33f5d_1200x800.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ICNZ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffceb3eb4-8b74-47f7-9eaf-bfd18fd33f5d_1200x800.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">TotalEnergies&#8217; refining and petrochemicals facilities in Antwerp, Belgium. Photo from TotalEnergies. <a href="https://totalenergies.com/company/projects/oil/antwerp-refining-petrochemical-platform-belgium">Source</a>.</figcaption></figure></div><p>TotalEnergies, until recently known as Total, is one of the world&#8217;s largest oil and gas companies. The French corporation has a market capitalization of around $200 billion (<a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TTE/">TTE</a>) as of May 2026, and generated $182 billion of revenue in 2025, making it the largest company in France by revenue.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> Since current CEO Patrick Pouyann&#233; started his tenure in 2014, Total&#8217;s market capitalization has more than tripled, outperforming all of its &#8220;Big Oil&#8221; competitors, including ExxonMobil, Shell, and BP.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a> Total has a little over 100,000 employees in over one hundred countries.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-3" href="#footnote-3" target="_self">3</a> In 2025, the company produced around 2.5 million barrels of oil equivalent per day across both its oil and gas production operations, which means that Total operates at a scale comparable to some of the world&#8217;s largest oil and gas producing countries: Norway, for instance, produced around 4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day in 2025.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-4" href="#footnote-4" target="_self">4</a> Because of the disappearance of Russian pipeline gas from the European market due to the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine and accompanying <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/sanctions-on-russia-failed-because">sanctions on Russia</a>, Total has become a much more strategically important company for Europe.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Foxconn is Buoyed By Nvidia]]></title><description><![CDATA[The world's largest electronics manufacturer has gotten a second wind from the boom in demand for AI hardware. Its core business model however remains under strain.]]></description><link>https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/foxconn-is-buoyed-by-nvidia</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/foxconn-is-buoyed-by-nvidia</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Samo Burja]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2026 13:03:21 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hoiq!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F42cba7d9-df37-4f94-b61b-6d4d24158fec_2048x1358.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hoiq!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F42cba7d9-df37-4f94-b61b-6d4d24158fec_2048x1358.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hoiq!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F42cba7d9-df37-4f94-b61b-6d4d24158fec_2048x1358.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hoiq!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F42cba7d9-df37-4f94-b61b-6d4d24158fec_2048x1358.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hoiq!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F42cba7d9-df37-4f94-b61b-6d4d24158fec_2048x1358.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hoiq!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F42cba7d9-df37-4f94-b61b-6d4d24158fec_2048x1358.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hoiq!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F42cba7d9-df37-4f94-b61b-6d4d24158fec_2048x1358.png" width="1456" height="965" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/42cba7d9-df37-4f94-b61b-6d4d24158fec_2048x1358.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:965,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hoiq!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F42cba7d9-df37-4f94-b61b-6d4d24158fec_2048x1358.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hoiq!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F42cba7d9-df37-4f94-b61b-6d4d24158fec_2048x1358.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hoiq!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F42cba7d9-df37-4f94-b61b-6d4d24158fec_2048x1358.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hoiq!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F42cba7d9-df37-4f94-b61b-6d4d24158fec_2048x1358.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang (left) with Foxconn chairman Young Liu (right) in 2023. Photo from Foxconn. <a href="https://fortune.com/img-assets/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/23Y%E9%B4%BB%E6%B5%B7%E7%A7%91%E6%8A%80%E6%97%A5-1.jpg?format=webp&amp;w=1280&amp;q=100">Source</a>.</figcaption></figure></div><p>With annual revenues of $261 billion and over 800,000 employees, Foxconn is one of the largest companies in the world by both revenue and headcount and the largest such company from Taiwan.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> Foxconn is a contract electronics manufacturer that produces billions of individual electronic devices and components annually, with production tallies as high as 5.8 billion items in 2021.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a> Holding an estimated 30-40% of global market share for contract manufacturing of electronics, Foxconn produces everything from smartphones to computers to video game consoles for companies like Amazon, Huawei, <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/sony-suggests-japanese-innovation">Sony</a>, Dell, and <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/the-apple-paradox-makes-apple-a-dead">Apple</a>&#8212;the latter of which has been its most important customer for over a decade thanks to the success of the iPhone.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-3" href="#footnote-3" target="_self">3</a> Since 2023, Foxconn has also become the main electronics manufacturing partner for <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/nvidias-successful-bet-on-artificial">Nvidia</a>, turning Nvidia&#8217;s powerful chips into completed server products that fill the halls of <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/ai-2026-data-centers-restart-growth">data centers</a> for artificial intelligence.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Rheinmetall is Rearming Europe But Possibly For the Wrong War]]></title><description><![CDATA[The German defense conglomerate is a key manufacturer of armored vehicles. Higher defense spending will boost production, but it remains unclear if the lessons of modern warfare have been learned.]]></description><link>https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/rheinmetall-is-rearming-europe-but</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/rheinmetall-is-rearming-europe-but</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Samo Burja]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 06 May 2026 15:55:21 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WfCA!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd59f1386-88c8-426b-b5e6-5761c556f696_1280x853.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WfCA!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd59f1386-88c8-426b-b5e6-5761c556f696_1280x853.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WfCA!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd59f1386-88c8-426b-b5e6-5761c556f696_1280x853.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WfCA!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd59f1386-88c8-426b-b5e6-5761c556f696_1280x853.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WfCA!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd59f1386-88c8-426b-b5e6-5761c556f696_1280x853.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WfCA!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd59f1386-88c8-426b-b5e6-5761c556f696_1280x853.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WfCA!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd59f1386-88c8-426b-b5e6-5761c556f696_1280x853.jpeg" width="1280" height="853" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d59f1386-88c8-426b-b5e6-5761c556f696_1280x853.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:853,&quot;width&quot;:1280,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WfCA!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd59f1386-88c8-426b-b5e6-5761c556f696_1280x853.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WfCA!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd59f1386-88c8-426b-b5e6-5761c556f696_1280x853.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WfCA!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd59f1386-88c8-426b-b5e6-5761c556f696_1280x853.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WfCA!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd59f1386-88c8-426b-b5e6-5761c556f696_1280x853.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Rheinmetall Panther KF51 main battle tank in 2022. Photo from Rheinmetall. <a href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Rheinmetall_kf51_dynamisch_hohe_aufloesung_R6MJ1833.jpg">Source</a>.</figcaption></figure></div><p>Rheinmetall is the largest and most valuable German defense conglomerate, with a market capitalization of nearly $80 billion (<a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/RHM.DE/">RHM.DE</a>) as of May 2026.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> Although it has a recently-acquired shipbuilding arm and has expanded into large-scale ammunition production, it is primarily a designer and manufacturer of armored vehicles and related weapons systems, which are key to moving infantry around the battlefield. In 2024, Rheinmetall was the world&#8217;s twentieth-largest defense company by total arms sales revenues and the third largest dedicated defense company in Europe after French firm <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/france-is-europes-best-shot-at-rearmament">Thales</a> and Italian manufacturer <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/italy-is-europes-second-manufacturing">Leonardo</a>.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a> Due to rapidly increasing European defense spending since the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine, Rheinmetall&#8217;s revenues have risen by over 50% in the last five years, from over &#8364;6 billion in 2019 to almost &#8364;10 billion in 2025, driving its share price up over 1700% in the same time period and making it one of the best-performing stocks in Europe.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-3" href="#footnote-3" target="_self">3</a> The company&#8217;s CEO was reportedly targeted for assassination by the Russian security services for its assistance to Ukraine.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-4" href="#footnote-4" target="_self">4</a> The company has approximately 44,000 employees, of which approximately half are based in Germany.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-5" href="#footnote-5" target="_self">5</a></p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Masayoshi Son’s Alliance With OpenAI]]></title><description><![CDATA[The charismatic SoftBank founder and CEO is one of the best fundraisers in the world. He has tied the fortunes of his enormous venture investment funds to the success of OpenAI.]]></description><link>https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/masayoshi-sons-alliance-with-openai</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/masayoshi-sons-alliance-with-openai</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Samo Burja]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 29 Apr 2026 13:03:30 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UFbh!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb50d1388-472c-4ecf-a3e5-b4f72e7bc6e9_1407x950.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UFbh!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb50d1388-472c-4ecf-a3e5-b4f72e7bc6e9_1407x950.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UFbh!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb50d1388-472c-4ecf-a3e5-b4f72e7bc6e9_1407x950.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UFbh!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb50d1388-472c-4ecf-a3e5-b4f72e7bc6e9_1407x950.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UFbh!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb50d1388-472c-4ecf-a3e5-b4f72e7bc6e9_1407x950.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UFbh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb50d1388-472c-4ecf-a3e5-b4f72e7bc6e9_1407x950.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UFbh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb50d1388-472c-4ecf-a3e5-b4f72e7bc6e9_1407x950.jpeg" width="1407" height="950" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b50d1388-472c-4ecf-a3e5-b4f72e7bc6e9_1407x950.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:950,&quot;width&quot;:1407,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UFbh!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb50d1388-472c-4ecf-a3e5-b4f72e7bc6e9_1407x950.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UFbh!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb50d1388-472c-4ecf-a3e5-b4f72e7bc6e9_1407x950.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UFbh!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb50d1388-472c-4ecf-a3e5-b4f72e7bc6e9_1407x950.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UFbh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb50d1388-472c-4ecf-a3e5-b4f72e7bc6e9_1407x950.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">OpenAI CEO Sam Altman (left) and SoftBank founder and CEO Masayoshi Son (right) in 2025. <a href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Meeting_with_Masayoshi_Son_and_Sam_Altman_(February_3,_2025).jpg">Source</a>.</figcaption></figure></div><p>Masayoshi Son is the founder, chairman, and CEO of SoftBank, a Japanese conglomerate focused on investments in technology. With a market capitalization of around $190 billion (<a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/9984.T/">9984.T</a>) as of April 2026, SoftBank is the third-largest publicly traded company in Japan after only <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/toyota-is-a-fragile-giant">Toyota</a> and <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/mitsubishi-is-the-worlds-largest">Mitsubishi UFJ Financial</a>; Son, with a net worth of around $64 billion, is the second-wealthiest person in Japan.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> While SoftBank is a key player in Japan&#8217;s telecommunications and information technology sectors, Son&#8217;s ambitions are global. From 2017 to 2019, Son founded the SoftBank Vision Fund and raised well over $100 billion in capital with the goal of investing $20 billion annually in tech companies, instantly becoming the largest venture capital fund ever raised, five times bigger than the venture arms of <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/blackstones-political-long-game">Blackstone</a> and Goldman Sachs, and twenty times bigger than Silicon Valley venture capital giant <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/andreessen-horowitz-are-the-masters">Andreessen Horowitz</a>.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a> SoftBank invested $38 billion into over 180 companies in 2019, the most ever by any venture capital investor.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-3" href="#footnote-3" target="_self">3</a> Since 2024, SoftBank has also become one of OpenAI&#8217;s largest investors and financial backers, currently planning to invest a cumulative total of $65 billion into the company for an ownership stake of 13%.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-4" href="#footnote-4" target="_self">4</a></p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Israel’s Unit 8200 is an Early Adopter of AI in Warfare]]></title><description><![CDATA[Israel's elite signals intelligence unit mobilizes tech talent for national security and incubates successful startups. Its wartime use of AI showcases the strengths and limits of current technology.]]></description><link>https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/israels-unit-8200-is-an-early-adopter</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/israels-unit-8200-is-an-early-adopter</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Samo Burja]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 16 Apr 2026 17:11:02 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uAeK!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F845fc66e-7c9c-40cf-b4a3-89c4b6aac069_2048x1233.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uAeK!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F845fc66e-7c9c-40cf-b4a3-89c4b6aac069_2048x1233.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uAeK!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F845fc66e-7c9c-40cf-b4a3-89c4b6aac069_2048x1233.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uAeK!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F845fc66e-7c9c-40cf-b4a3-89c4b6aac069_2048x1233.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uAeK!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F845fc66e-7c9c-40cf-b4a3-89c4b6aac069_2048x1233.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uAeK!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F845fc66e-7c9c-40cf-b4a3-89c4b6aac069_2048x1233.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uAeK!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F845fc66e-7c9c-40cf-b4a3-89c4b6aac069_2048x1233.png" width="1456" height="877" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/845fc66e-7c9c-40cf-b4a3-89c4b6aac069_2048x1233.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:877,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uAeK!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F845fc66e-7c9c-40cf-b4a3-89c4b6aac069_2048x1233.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uAeK!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F845fc66e-7c9c-40cf-b4a3-89c4b6aac069_2048x1233.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uAeK!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F845fc66e-7c9c-40cf-b4a3-89c4b6aac069_2048x1233.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uAeK!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F845fc66e-7c9c-40cf-b4a3-89c4b6aac069_2048x1233.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">An IDF intelligence soldier works at a computer. <a href="https://static-cdn.toi-media.com/www/uploads/2022/05/2_413.jpeg">Source</a>.</figcaption></figure></div><p>Unit 8200 is the unit of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) responsible for signals intelligence. With an estimated 5000 active duty soldiers, it is the largest military intelligence unit in the IDF. It handles open-source intelligence, threat assessment, cryptanalysis, and cyberwarfare. In terms of technical expertise, Unit 8200 has been described by experts as on par with the U.S. <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/the-growing-power-of-the-nsa">National Security Agency</a> (NSA).<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> Unit 8200 is believed to have played a key role in dramatic operations ranging from the Stuxnet virus that crippled Iran&#8217;s nuclear centrifuges in the 2000s to the September 2024 attacks on Hezbollah via compromised pagers and other communications devices rigged with explosives. Alumni of Unit 8200 have also played a key role in the Israeli software and startup sectors: they have founded hundreds of cybersecurity companies, including Check Point, Palo Alto Networks, CyberArk, Wiz, and the controversial NSO Group, as well as successful consumer tech startups like Viber and Waze. Since the renewed outbreak of war in the Middle East caused by the October 2023 attacks on Israel by Hamas, Unit 8200 has been a key organization applying new artificial intelligence technologies to problems in warfare.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Pentagon Attempts to Crack China's Rare Earths Monopoly]]></title><description><![CDATA[Rare earth elements are key to modern industrial, consumer, and military technology. China's dominance in rare earths mining, refining, and manufacturing is being challenged by the U.S. government.]]></description><link>https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/the-pentagon-attempts-to-crack-chinas</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/the-pentagon-attempts-to-crack-chinas</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Samo Burja]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 08 Apr 2026 13:04:09 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QY3n!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3b6a6be8-29b6-4fc2-89f3-0541a0c4107b_1280x852.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QY3n!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3b6a6be8-29b6-4fc2-89f3-0541a0c4107b_1280x852.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QY3n!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3b6a6be8-29b6-4fc2-89f3-0541a0c4107b_1280x852.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QY3n!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3b6a6be8-29b6-4fc2-89f3-0541a0c4107b_1280x852.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QY3n!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3b6a6be8-29b6-4fc2-89f3-0541a0c4107b_1280x852.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QY3n!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3b6a6be8-29b6-4fc2-89f3-0541a0c4107b_1280x852.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QY3n!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3b6a6be8-29b6-4fc2-89f3-0541a0c4107b_1280x852.jpeg" width="1280" height="852" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/3b6a6be8-29b6-4fc2-89f3-0541a0c4107b_1280x852.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:852,&quot;width&quot;:1280,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QY3n!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3b6a6be8-29b6-4fc2-89f3-0541a0c4107b_1280x852.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QY3n!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3b6a6be8-29b6-4fc2-89f3-0541a0c4107b_1280x852.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QY3n!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3b6a6be8-29b6-4fc2-89f3-0541a0c4107b_1280x852.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QY3n!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3b6a6be8-29b6-4fc2-89f3-0541a0c4107b_1280x852.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">The Mountain Pass Rare Earth Mine and Processing Facility in California in 2022. Photo by Wikimedia Commons user Tmy350. <a href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Mountain_Pass_Rare_Earth_Mine_%26_Processing_Facility.jpg">Source</a>.</figcaption></figure></div><p>Rare earth elements (REEs) are seventeen chemical elements with a wide range of critical uses across industry and electronics due to their unique magnetic and conductive properties. They are key to electronics when used for batteries, magnets, and luminescence, for example in the displays of smartphones and computers or in military sensors, as well as in the motors of electric vehicles. Rare earths are also commonly used as catalysts in automobiles and oil refining, and are used industrially to produce high-quality steel and glass. The term &#8220;rare earth element&#8221; is a misnomer: rare earths are generally more geologically abundant than many commonly used commodity metals like copper, tin, and lead. While rare earth deposits are mined much like any other mineral is mined, the bottleneck on rare earths is rather the concentration and purity of natural deposits and the need to refine mined minerals with energy-intensive processes. In 2025, China had an estimated 92.1% share of global rare earth refining capacity.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a></p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Why Neoclouds Are Vital to AI Startups]]></title><description><![CDATA[Commodity compute is key to making new AI research breakthroughs. AI startups and Nvidia have allied with financial firms to prevent this commodity from being monopolized by incumbent software giants.]]></description><link>https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/why-neoclouds-are-vital-to-ai-startups</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/why-neoclouds-are-vital-to-ai-startups</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Samo Burja]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 01 Apr 2026 13:02:34 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zayn!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa722ab00-9e30-4d15-a26f-dcabd2c6fa0f_2048x1366.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zayn!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa722ab00-9e30-4d15-a26f-dcabd2c6fa0f_2048x1366.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zayn!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa722ab00-9e30-4d15-a26f-dcabd2c6fa0f_2048x1366.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zayn!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa722ab00-9e30-4d15-a26f-dcabd2c6fa0f_2048x1366.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zayn!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa722ab00-9e30-4d15-a26f-dcabd2c6fa0f_2048x1366.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zayn!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa722ab00-9e30-4d15-a26f-dcabd2c6fa0f_2048x1366.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zayn!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa722ab00-9e30-4d15-a26f-dcabd2c6fa0f_2048x1366.jpeg" width="1456" height="971" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a722ab00-9e30-4d15-a26f-dcabd2c6fa0f_2048x1366.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:971,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zayn!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa722ab00-9e30-4d15-a26f-dcabd2c6fa0f_2048x1366.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zayn!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa722ab00-9e30-4d15-a26f-dcabd2c6fa0f_2048x1366.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zayn!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa722ab00-9e30-4d15-a26f-dcabd2c6fa0f_2048x1366.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zayn!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa722ab00-9e30-4d15-a26f-dcabd2c6fa0f_2048x1366.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Nebius founder Arkady Volozh tours Nvidia Blackwell GPU installation at data center in Finland in December 2025. Photo from Nebius. <a href="https://nebius.com/blog/posts/first-live-nvidia-gb300-nvl72-deployment-in-europe">Source</a>.</figcaption></figure></div><p>The recent growth in optimism about artificial intelligence technology has led to a boom in demand for the computing power or &#8220;compute&#8221; that these new AI algorithms require for training i.e. development and inference i.e. usage. The high compute demands for AI are met through chips like <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/nvidias-successful-bet-on-artificial">Nvidia&#8217;s</a> &#8220;graphics processing units&#8221; (GPUs), which are capable of processing vast amounts of computations in parallel. While GPUs and their equivalents from other companies like <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/amd-is-a-functional-institution-in">AMD</a> or Google can be purchased and run on a company&#8217;s own premises in what is now commonly called a &#8220;data center&#8221; or &#8220;compute cluster,&#8221; the financial costs and organizational complexities of building such data centers, maintaining them, and inevitably upgrading them with new and more powerful chips are prohibitively high even apparently for well-funded frontier AI labs like OpenAI or Anthropic. As a result, many companies and individuals choose instead to rent compute from &#8220;cloud computing&#8221; providers like <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/the-growth-prospects-for-aws">Amazon Web Services</a> (AWS) or <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/ai-2026-microsofts-transformation">Microsoft</a> Azure and, alongside these large and established companies, a number of smaller and newer &#8220;neocloud&#8221; companies have arisen to meet demand specifically for remotely renting out AI compute.</p>
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          <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/why-neoclouds-are-vital-to-ai-startups">
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Meta Attempts to Build Frontier AI Models]]></title><description><![CDATA[The world's largest social media company has the funds to build vast data centers and hire world-class talent. Mark Zuckerberg's goals in artificial intelligence are however distinct.]]></description><link>https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/meta-attempts-to-build-frontier-ai</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/meta-attempts-to-build-frontier-ai</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Samo Burja]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 18 Mar 2026 14:02:54 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VMu9!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F69de3279-79e3-4806-adbb-e020d1b3b15d_2048x1147.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VMu9!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F69de3279-79e3-4806-adbb-e020d1b3b15d_2048x1147.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VMu9!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F69de3279-79e3-4806-adbb-e020d1b3b15d_2048x1147.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VMu9!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F69de3279-79e3-4806-adbb-e020d1b3b15d_2048x1147.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VMu9!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F69de3279-79e3-4806-adbb-e020d1b3b15d_2048x1147.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VMu9!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F69de3279-79e3-4806-adbb-e020d1b3b15d_2048x1147.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VMu9!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F69de3279-79e3-4806-adbb-e020d1b3b15d_2048x1147.png" width="1456" height="815" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/69de3279-79e3-4806-adbb-e020d1b3b15d_2048x1147.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:815,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VMu9!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F69de3279-79e3-4806-adbb-e020d1b3b15d_2048x1147.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VMu9!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F69de3279-79e3-4806-adbb-e020d1b3b15d_2048x1147.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VMu9!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F69de3279-79e3-4806-adbb-e020d1b3b15d_2048x1147.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VMu9!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F69de3279-79e3-4806-adbb-e020d1b3b15d_2048x1147.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Mark Zuckerberg wearing Ray-Ban Meta Display AI glasses in 2025. Screenshot from YouTube. <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D97ILdUbYww">Source</a>.</figcaption></figure></div><p>With annual profits of over $80 billion, Meta Platforms (formerly Facebook) is the seventh-most profitable company in the world and the eighth-most valuable with a market capitalization of over $1.5 trillion (<a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/">META</a>).<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> Meta earns these profits from just under $200 billion in annual online advertising revenues from its globally dominant social media platforms: Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp. As of December 2025, Meta claimed 3.58 billion daily active users across its social media platforms.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a> This is roughly 45% of the entire human population. Meta founder and CEO Mark Zuckerberg has made it a goal for the company to produce frontier artificial intelligence models at the cutting edge of capabilities, competitive with AI labs like OpenAI or Anthropic. With AI capabilities premised to a large extent on access to enough computing power or &#8220;compute&#8221; from advanced semiconductors from companies like <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/nvidias-successful-bet-on-artificial">Nvidia</a>, Meta&#8217;s financial firepower makes it a key contender to examine in the AI race.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Iran Energy Crisis]]></title><description><![CDATA[Iran has responded to U.S. and Israeli attacks by targeting the oil-rich Gulf states. A prolonged blockade of the Strait of Hormuz threatens severe political and economic consequences for the world.]]></description><link>https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/the-iran-energy-crisis</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/the-iran-energy-crisis</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Samo Burja]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 12 Mar 2026 14:11:51 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wnQa!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8c75e7f8-577b-4533-bc63-0720666cc303_2048x1366.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wnQa!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8c75e7f8-577b-4533-bc63-0720666cc303_2048x1366.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wnQa!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8c75e7f8-577b-4533-bc63-0720666cc303_2048x1366.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wnQa!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8c75e7f8-577b-4533-bc63-0720666cc303_2048x1366.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wnQa!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8c75e7f8-577b-4533-bc63-0720666cc303_2048x1366.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wnQa!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8c75e7f8-577b-4533-bc63-0720666cc303_2048x1366.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wnQa!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8c75e7f8-577b-4533-bc63-0720666cc303_2048x1366.jpeg" width="1456" height="971" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8c75e7f8-577b-4533-bc63-0720666cc303_2048x1366.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:971,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wnQa!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8c75e7f8-577b-4533-bc63-0720666cc303_2048x1366.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wnQa!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8c75e7f8-577b-4533-bc63-0720666cc303_2048x1366.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wnQa!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8c75e7f8-577b-4533-bc63-0720666cc303_2048x1366.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wnQa!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8c75e7f8-577b-4533-bc63-0720666cc303_2048x1366.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Satellite imagery of the Strait of Hormuz in 2020. <a href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Strait_of_Hormuz_(MODIS_2020-12-04).jpg">Source</a>.</figcaption></figure></div><p>On February 28, 2026, the militaries of the United States and Israel jointly launched airstrikes on the Islamic Republic of Iran in an apparent surprise attack that resulted in the deaths of a number of top Iranian government and military leaders, including the defense minister, chief of the general staff of the armed forces, and commander of Iran&#8217;s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). Most notably, the strikes also killed the 86-year-old Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the Shia Muslim cleric who served as Supreme Leader of Iran&#8217;s revolutionary and theocratic <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/how-irans-revolutionary-theocracy">system of government</a> from 1989 until his death. The U.S. and Israel have continued extensively bombing both military and civilian sites in Iran, with shifting public justifications ranging from regime change in Iran to more modest goals revolving around degrading Iran&#8217;s military capabilities or nuclear program.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Starlink’s Economic and Military Potential]]></title><description><![CDATA[Elon Musk's SpaceX is now earning most of its revenues from its satellite internet constellation. This technology is the first new major commercial application of reusable rockets.]]></description><link>https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/starlinks-economic-and-military-potential</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/starlinks-economic-and-military-potential</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Samo Burja]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 04 Mar 2026 17:04:42 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ADSD!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef5f605f-9b48-4672-8ec0-fbde5c13e70e_1496x816.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ADSD!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef5f605f-9b48-4672-8ec0-fbde5c13e70e_1496x816.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ADSD!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef5f605f-9b48-4672-8ec0-fbde5c13e70e_1496x816.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ADSD!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef5f605f-9b48-4672-8ec0-fbde5c13e70e_1496x816.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ADSD!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef5f605f-9b48-4672-8ec0-fbde5c13e70e_1496x816.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ADSD!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef5f605f-9b48-4672-8ec0-fbde5c13e70e_1496x816.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ADSD!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef5f605f-9b48-4672-8ec0-fbde5c13e70e_1496x816.jpeg" width="1456" height="794" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/ef5f605f-9b48-4672-8ec0-fbde5c13e70e_1496x816.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:794,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ADSD!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef5f605f-9b48-4672-8ec0-fbde5c13e70e_1496x816.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ADSD!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef5f605f-9b48-4672-8ec0-fbde5c13e70e_1496x816.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ADSD!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef5f605f-9b48-4672-8ec0-fbde5c13e70e_1496x816.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ADSD!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef5f605f-9b48-4672-8ec0-fbde5c13e70e_1496x816.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Starlink satellites in orbit in December 2025. Photo from SpaceX. <a href="https://x.com/Starlink/status/2006482058668085733/photo/1">Source</a>.</figcaption></figure></div><p>Starlink is a satellite internet service provided by Elon Musk&#8217;s SpaceX. With just under 10,000 satellites in Earth orbit as of March 2026, Starlink is not just the largest and most advanced satellite internet constellation but, by volume, the single largest satellite operator on the planet: Starlink satellites account for roughly two-thirds of all active satellites in orbit of any kind.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> With the first Starlink launch occurring only in 2019, this feat has been achieved thanks to over 300 launches of SpaceX&#8217;s Falcon 9 reusable medium-lift rocket since then.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a> SpaceX has greatly decreased the cost of launching mass to orbit, to the point of constituting nearly 90% of all mass launched to orbit worldwide in 2024, and has used this capability to rapidly build out Starlink.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-3" href="#footnote-3" target="_self">3</a> Starlink has, in turn, become SpaceX&#8217;s key source of revenue. In 2025, SpaceX reportedly generated $8 billion in profit on around $15 billion of revenue, with an estimated 69% of revenue coming from Starlink.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-4" href="#footnote-4" target="_self">4</a> Starlink is poised to be one of the key sources of cashflow to fund Musk&#8217;s lofty ambitions in space expansion and artificial intelligence.</p>
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          <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/starlinks-economic-and-military-potential">
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[AI 2026: Cohere is Canada’s Artificial Intelligence Champion]]></title><description><![CDATA[Founded by young pioneering AI researchers, the company today pursues enterprise software revenue rather than frontier capabilities.]]></description><link>https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/ai-2026-cohere-is-canadas-artificial</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/ai-2026-cohere-is-canadas-artificial</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Samo Burja]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 25 Feb 2026 14:02:09 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Lhfv!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30568272-bbca-4bc3-b92f-317ac4d38c07_1280x868.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Lhfv!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30568272-bbca-4bc3-b92f-317ac4d38c07_1280x868.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Lhfv!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30568272-bbca-4bc3-b92f-317ac4d38c07_1280x868.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Lhfv!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30568272-bbca-4bc3-b92f-317ac4d38c07_1280x868.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Lhfv!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30568272-bbca-4bc3-b92f-317ac4d38c07_1280x868.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Lhfv!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30568272-bbca-4bc3-b92f-317ac4d38c07_1280x868.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Lhfv!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30568272-bbca-4bc3-b92f-317ac4d38c07_1280x868.jpeg" width="1280" height="868" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/30568272-bbca-4bc3-b92f-317ac4d38c07_1280x868.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:868,&quot;width&quot;:1280,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Lhfv!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30568272-bbca-4bc3-b92f-317ac4d38c07_1280x868.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Lhfv!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30568272-bbca-4bc3-b92f-317ac4d38c07_1280x868.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Lhfv!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30568272-bbca-4bc3-b92f-317ac4d38c07_1280x868.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Lhfv!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30568272-bbca-4bc3-b92f-317ac4d38c07_1280x868.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Cohere cofounder and CEO Aidan Gomez in 2024. <a href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Collision_2024_-_RCZ_9877_(53798923832).jpg">Source</a>.</figcaption></figure></div><p><em>This Bismarck Brief will contribute to our exclusive upcoming <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/introducing-ai-2026-the-global-state">AI 2026 Bismarck Strategic Report</a>, which will feature in-depth analysis of the state of the artificial intelligence sector and technology, together with a comprehensive profile of key players. <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/subscribe">Upgrade or subscribe now</a> to receive full access and never miss a report.</em></p><p>Cohere is a Canadian artificial intelligence company founded in 2019 by Aidan Gomez, Nick Frosst, and Ivan Zhang. Gomez was one of eight co-authors of the seminal 2017 paper by Google researchers introducing the transformer architecture that underpins large language models (LLMs) today, and both Gomez and Frosst come from the tradition of knowledge in AI and computer science centered around Nobel Prize winner Geoffrey Hinton at the University of Toronto, which also produced OpenAI cofounder and former chief scientist <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/ai-2026-ilya-sutskever-and-the-end">Ilya Sutskever</a>. Cohere has also tried to attract research talent by establishing its research arm, Cohere Labs, as an independent non-profit with the freedom to collaborate across academia and industry to publish its research. This move came as the major U.S. labs increasingly became closed off and stopped publishing any meaningful academic research.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Elon Musk’s Frontier AI Lab]]></title><description><![CDATA[xAI is the world's third-most valuable AI startup and Elon Musk's personal frontier AI lab. It is already playing a load-bearing role in the future success of Musk's other companies.]]></description><link>https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/elon-musks-frontier-ai-lab</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/elon-musks-frontier-ai-lab</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Samo Burja]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 28 Jan 2026 14:02:46 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lh1g!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe20b5f99-ffc4-4fe9-a24c-61d04f3562d0_1280x853.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lh1g!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe20b5f99-ffc4-4fe9-a24c-61d04f3562d0_1280x853.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lh1g!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe20b5f99-ffc4-4fe9-a24c-61d04f3562d0_1280x853.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lh1g!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe20b5f99-ffc4-4fe9-a24c-61d04f3562d0_1280x853.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lh1g!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe20b5f99-ffc4-4fe9-a24c-61d04f3562d0_1280x853.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lh1g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe20b5f99-ffc4-4fe9-a24c-61d04f3562d0_1280x853.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lh1g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe20b5f99-ffc4-4fe9-a24c-61d04f3562d0_1280x853.jpeg" width="1280" height="853" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e20b5f99-ffc4-4fe9-a24c-61d04f3562d0_1280x853.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:853,&quot;width&quot;:1280,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lh1g!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe20b5f99-ffc4-4fe9-a24c-61d04f3562d0_1280x853.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lh1g!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe20b5f99-ffc4-4fe9-a24c-61d04f3562d0_1280x853.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lh1g!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe20b5f99-ffc4-4fe9-a24c-61d04f3562d0_1280x853.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lh1g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe20b5f99-ffc4-4fe9-a24c-61d04f3562d0_1280x853.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Elon Musk in November 2025. <a href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:P20251119DT-0117.jpg">Source</a>.</figcaption></figure></div><p><em>This Bismarck Brief will contribute to our exclusive upcoming <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/introducing-ai-2026-the-global-state">AI 2026 Bismarck Strategic Report</a>, which will feature in-depth analysis of the state of the artificial intelligence sector and technology, together with a comprehensive profile of key players. <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/subscribe">Upgrade or subscribe now</a> to receive full access and never miss a report.</em><br><br>Since its founding in early 2023, the U.S. artificial intelligence company xAI has rapidly become one of the world&#8217;s leading AI labs and one of the world&#8217;s most valuable privately-owned companies. After its most recent January 2026 fundraising round, xAI is believed to be valued at more than $230 billion, making it the third-most valuable private AI lab after OpenAI and Anthropic.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> Headquartered in Palo Alto, California, xAI&#8217;s core staff as of 2025 numbered roughly 300 people.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a> Founded by <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/teslas-self-driving-is-betting-on">Tesla</a>, SpaceX, and OpenAI founder Elon Musk, who is currently 54 years old, xAI merged with X (formerly Twitter) in March 2025, resulting in a combined corporation that is approximately 59% owned by Musk personally.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-3" href="#footnote-3" target="_self">3</a> In Musk&#8217;s own words, the mission of xAI is to &#8220;understand the true nature of the universe,&#8221; and the company plays an increasingly prominent role in Musk&#8217;s constellation of companies.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-4" href="#footnote-4" target="_self">4</a></p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[AI 2026: China’s Super-App Giant ByteDance Bets On AI Smartphones]]></title><description><![CDATA[The parent company of TikTok is one of the world's most profitable companies and is exploring how to leverage AI to dominate the next iteration of social media and smartphones.]]></description><link>https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/ai-2026-chinas-super-app-giant-bytedance</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/ai-2026-chinas-super-app-giant-bytedance</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Samo Burja]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 21 Jan 2026 14:02:29 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!M7jY!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0bf7785-81be-4f64-b121-0cda028deda6_2048x1264.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!M7jY!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0bf7785-81be-4f64-b121-0cda028deda6_2048x1264.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!M7jY!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0bf7785-81be-4f64-b121-0cda028deda6_2048x1264.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!M7jY!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0bf7785-81be-4f64-b121-0cda028deda6_2048x1264.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!M7jY!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0bf7785-81be-4f64-b121-0cda028deda6_2048x1264.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!M7jY!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0bf7785-81be-4f64-b121-0cda028deda6_2048x1264.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!M7jY!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0bf7785-81be-4f64-b121-0cda028deda6_2048x1264.jpeg" width="1456" height="899" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d0bf7785-81be-4f64-b121-0cda028deda6_2048x1264.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:899,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!M7jY!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0bf7785-81be-4f64-b121-0cda028deda6_2048x1264.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!M7jY!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0bf7785-81be-4f64-b121-0cda028deda6_2048x1264.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!M7jY!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0bf7785-81be-4f64-b121-0cda028deda6_2048x1264.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!M7jY!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0bf7785-81be-4f64-b121-0cda028deda6_2048x1264.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">ByteDance office building in Singapore in 2023. Photo by Claudio Schwarz. <a href="https://unsplash.com/photos/a-tall-building-with-a-sign-in-front-of-it-Pq5HrWiQ38Y">Source</a>.</figcaption></figure></div><p><em>This Bismarck Brief will contribute to our exclusive upcoming <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/introducing-ai-2026-the-global-state">AI 2026 Bismarck Strategic Report</a>, which will feature in-depth analysis of the state of the artificial intelligence sector and technology, together with a comprehensive profile of key players. <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/subscribe">Upgrade or subscribe now</a> to receive full access and never miss a report.</em></p><p>ByteDance, best known as the creator of the popular short-form video app TikTok, is also one of China&#8217;s largest cloud computing providers, hosts ByteDance Seed&#8212;one of the country&#8217;s largest frontier AI research labs&#8212;and owns the AI assistant app Doubao. The Doubao app is their main consumer product and had over 170 million monthly active users in China as of October 2025, meaning they have the most active users in the country, ranking above DeepSeek&#8217;s app&#8217;s 145 million monthly active users.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> ByteDance has the advantage of being able to train its multimodal models on user-submitted videos from <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/tiktoks-struggle-to-become-a-global">TikTok</a> and its Chinese equivalent, Douyin. Douyin, however, is not just a social media platform but also the third largest e-commerce platform in China.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a> ByteDance&#8217;s stated aim is to integrate AI agents into every facet of how people interact with the internet and offer an immersive consumer entertainment, e-commerce, and social media experience within their own &#8220;super-app&#8221; ecosystem, something the company&#8217;s founder Zhang Yiming, who de facto still leads the company, believes will fundamentally transform user retention and satisfaction.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Tesla’s Self-Driving is Betting on the Scaling Hypothesis]]></title><description><![CDATA[Elon Musk's plan to own virtually all terrestrial transportation by providing low-cost self-driving vehicles is proceeding steadily, if late. It currently depends on further AI progress from scaling.]]></description><link>https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/teslas-self-driving-is-betting-on</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/teslas-self-driving-is-betting-on</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Samo Burja]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 16 Jan 2026 13:59:13 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XLg6!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6043a1dc-844e-4b97-a8ef-9ed981ffde5c_1280x814.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XLg6!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6043a1dc-844e-4b97-a8ef-9ed981ffde5c_1280x814.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XLg6!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6043a1dc-844e-4b97-a8ef-9ed981ffde5c_1280x814.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XLg6!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6043a1dc-844e-4b97-a8ef-9ed981ffde5c_1280x814.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XLg6!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6043a1dc-844e-4b97-a8ef-9ed981ffde5c_1280x814.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XLg6!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6043a1dc-844e-4b97-a8ef-9ed981ffde5c_1280x814.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XLg6!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6043a1dc-844e-4b97-a8ef-9ed981ffde5c_1280x814.jpeg" width="1280" height="814" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6043a1dc-844e-4b97-a8ef-9ed981ffde5c_1280x814.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:814,&quot;width&quot;:1280,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XLg6!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6043a1dc-844e-4b97-a8ef-9ed981ffde5c_1280x814.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XLg6!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6043a1dc-844e-4b97-a8ef-9ed981ffde5c_1280x814.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XLg6!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6043a1dc-844e-4b97-a8ef-9ed981ffde5c_1280x814.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XLg6!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6043a1dc-844e-4b97-a8ef-9ed981ffde5c_1280x814.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Tesla Cybercab concept car on display in Berlin in 2024. Photo by Wikimedia Commons user Avda. <a href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Tesla_Cybercab_-_Berlin_2024.jpg">Source</a>.</figcaption></figure></div><p><em>This Bismarck Brief will contribute to our exclusive upcoming <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/introducing-ai-2026-the-global-state">AI 2026 Bismarck Strategic Report</a>, which will feature in-depth analysis of the state of the artificial intelligence sector and technology, together with a comprehensive profile of key players. <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/subscribe">Upgrade or subscribe now</a> to receive full access and never miss a report.</em></p><p>With a market capitalization of approximately $1.5 trillion (<a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/">TSLA</a>) as of January 2026, the U.S. electric vehicle manufacturer Tesla is by far the most valuable auto maker in the world as well as one of the most valuable companies overall.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> Elon Musk has served as CEO of Tesla since 2008, during which time the company has, more than any other, spearheaded the rise of electric vehicles as a viable commercial product and alternative to traditional internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles. Tesla has also spearheaded another major shift in the design of automobiles: the liberal integration of software and electronics to improve the driving experience for Tesla drivers, which, for many years now, has been expected to culminate in fully autonomous self-driving vehicles with no need for human drivers or intervention. This outcome would be tantamount to an economic revolution in personal, public, and commercial transportation, by eliminating the need for costly and rote human labor in the form of driving.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[AI 2026: Andrej Karpathy’s Next Big Project]]></title><description><![CDATA[The OpenAI cofounder and former head of Tesla's self-driving division is a skilled engineer and public communicator who is now focused on using AI to improve education and other passion projects.]]></description><link>https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/ai-2026-andrej-karpathys-next-big</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/ai-2026-andrej-karpathys-next-big</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Samo Burja]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 07 Jan 2026 14:02:24 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4NTz!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff6c0e051-f198-4d89-8bbb-3cdfc6ae8032_1600x880.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4NTz!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff6c0e051-f198-4d89-8bbb-3cdfc6ae8032_1600x880.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4NTz!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff6c0e051-f198-4d89-8bbb-3cdfc6ae8032_1600x880.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4NTz!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff6c0e051-f198-4d89-8bbb-3cdfc6ae8032_1600x880.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4NTz!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff6c0e051-f198-4d89-8bbb-3cdfc6ae8032_1600x880.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4NTz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff6c0e051-f198-4d89-8bbb-3cdfc6ae8032_1600x880.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4NTz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff6c0e051-f198-4d89-8bbb-3cdfc6ae8032_1600x880.png" width="1456" height="801" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f6c0e051-f198-4d89-8bbb-3cdfc6ae8032_1600x880.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:801,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4NTz!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff6c0e051-f198-4d89-8bbb-3cdfc6ae8032_1600x880.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4NTz!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff6c0e051-f198-4d89-8bbb-3cdfc6ae8032_1600x880.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4NTz!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff6c0e051-f198-4d89-8bbb-3cdfc6ae8032_1600x880.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4NTz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff6c0e051-f198-4d89-8bbb-3cdfc6ae8032_1600x880.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Andrej Karpathy in 2025. Screenshot from YouTube. <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lXUZvyajciY">Source</a>.</figcaption></figure></div><p><em>This Bismarck Brief will contribute to our exclusive upcoming <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/introducing-ai-2026-the-global-state">AI 2026 Bismarck Strategic Report</a>, which will feature in-depth analysis of the state of the artificial intelligence sector and technology, together with a comprehensive profile of key players. <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/subscribe">Upgrade or subscribe now</a> to receive full access and never miss a report.</em></p><p>Andrej Karpathy is a computer scientist, AI researcher, and expert in computer vision who was a founding member of OpenAI and then head of Tesla&#8217;s Autopilot driver assistance and self-driving car program from 2017 to 2022, where he was responsible for building the team and technology that today powers Tesla&#8217;s autonomous driving capabilities. Self-driving vehicles promise to be one of the most immediate and consequential areas where AI progress will obsolete human labor in the physical world. Whereas Google&#8217;s <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/google-leads-the-autonomous-taxi">Waymo</a> and other self-driving efforts have attempted to scale up safe autonomous taxis using multiple types of redundant sensors and extensive reference mapping of the environment, Elon Musk has instead pursued a &#8220;vision-only&#8221; approach focused on achieving self-driving AI software perceptive enough to maneuver vehicles using only cameras. Karpathy was handpicked by Musk to build this technology for Tesla and largely succeeded.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[AI 2026: Data Centers Restart Growth of a Stagnant U.S. Electrical Grid]]></title><description><![CDATA[Optimism about artificial intelligence has driven a massive new wave of construction to house the chips AI depends on. The energy required to power these data centers will alter the whole U.S. grid.]]></description><link>https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/ai-2026-data-centers-restart-growth</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/ai-2026-data-centers-restart-growth</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Samo Burja]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 31 Dec 2025 14:43:41 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NyCT!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82e377bd-6afb-40a5-9395-3ecf02efa3af_1280x852.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NyCT!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82e377bd-6afb-40a5-9395-3ecf02efa3af_1280x852.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NyCT!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82e377bd-6afb-40a5-9395-3ecf02efa3af_1280x852.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NyCT!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82e377bd-6afb-40a5-9395-3ecf02efa3af_1280x852.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NyCT!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82e377bd-6afb-40a5-9395-3ecf02efa3af_1280x852.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NyCT!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82e377bd-6afb-40a5-9395-3ecf02efa3af_1280x852.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NyCT!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82e377bd-6afb-40a5-9395-3ecf02efa3af_1280x852.jpeg" width="1280" height="852" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/82e377bd-6afb-40a5-9395-3ecf02efa3af_1280x852.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:852,&quot;width&quot;:1280,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NyCT!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82e377bd-6afb-40a5-9395-3ecf02efa3af_1280x852.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NyCT!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82e377bd-6afb-40a5-9395-3ecf02efa3af_1280x852.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NyCT!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82e377bd-6afb-40a5-9395-3ecf02efa3af_1280x852.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NyCT!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82e377bd-6afb-40a5-9395-3ecf02efa3af_1280x852.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Cooling towers and backup generators on the roof of a data center in Arizona in 2025. <a href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Data_center_roof.jpg">Source</a>.</figcaption></figure></div><p><em>This Bismarck Brief will contribute to our exclusive upcoming <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/introducing-ai-2026-the-global-state">AI 2026 Bismarck Strategic Report</a>, which will feature in-depth analysis of the state of the artificial intelligence sector and technology, together with a comprehensive profile of key players. <a href="https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/subscribe">Upgrade or subscribe now</a> to receive full access and never miss a report.</em></p><p>Corporate investments in artificial intelligence, especially in the construction of a new generation of data centers built to provide computational power or &#8220;compute&#8221; for generative AI, have driven over one-third of the United States&#8217; GDP growth in the first nine months of 2025.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> These new data centers will also substantially increase both peak and total electricity demand, after two decades in which power demand was nearly flat, and grew at well under a 1% compound annual growth rate.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a> Today, the entire U.S. data center sector draws a total of less than 15 gigawatts (GW) of power, but the pipeline of new data centers under construction will, if all planned facilities right now are completed, add 140 GW of new load to the current total U.S. peak demand of 760 GW, an increase of almost 20%.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-3" href="#footnote-3" target="_self">3</a></p>
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